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Introduction to Fundamental Analysis
FOREX traders almost always rely on analysis to make plan their trading strategies. There are two basic types of FOREX analysis - technical and fundamental. This article will look at fundamental analysis and how it used in FOREX trading.
Fundamental analysis refers to political and economic conditions that may affect currency prices. FOREX traders using fundamental analysis rely on news reports to gather information about unemployment rates, economic policies, inflation, and growth rates.
Fundamental analysis is often used to get an overview of currency movements and to provide a broad picture of economic conditions affecting a specific currency. Most traders rely on technical analysis for plotting entry and exit points into the market and supplement their findings with fundamental analysis.
Currency prices on the FOREX are affected by the forces of supply and demand, which in turn are affected by economic conditions. The two most important economic factors affecting supply and demand are interest rates and the strength of the economy. The strength of the economy is affected by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), foreign investment and trade balance.
Indicators
Various indicators are released by government and academic sources. They are reliable measures of economic health and are followed by all sectors of the investment market. Indicators are usually released on a monthly basis but some are released weekly.
Two of the most important fundamental indicators are interest rates and international trade. Other indicators include the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Durable Goods Orders, Producer Price Index (PPI), Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI), and retail sales.
Interest Rates - can have either a strengthening or weakening effect on a particular currency. On the one hand, high interest rates attract foreign investment which will strengthen the local currency. On the other hand, stock market investors often react to interest rate increases by selling off their holdings in the belief that higher borrowing costs will adversely affect many companies. Stock investors may sell off their holdings causing a downturn in the stock market and the national economy.
Determining which of these two effects will predominate depends on many complex factors, but there is usually a consensus amongst economic observers of how particular interest rate changes will affect the economy and the price of a currency.
International Trade - Trade balance which shows a deficit (more imports than exports) is usually an unfavourable indicator. Deficit trade balances means that money is flowing out of the country to purchase foreign-made goods and this may have a devaluing effect on the currency. Usually, however, market expectations dictate whether a deficit trade balance is unfavourable or not. If a county habitually operates with a deficit trade balance this has already been factored into the price of its currency. Trade deficits will only affect currency prices when they are more than market expectations.
Other indicators include the CPI - a measurement of the cost of living, and the PPI - a measurement of the cost of producing goods. The GDP measures the value of all goods and services within a country, while the M2 Money Supply measures the total amount of all currency.
There are 28 major indicators used in the United States. Indicators have strong effects on financial markets so FOREX traders should be aware of them when preparing strategies. Up-to-date information is available on many websites and many FOREX brokers supply this information as part of their trading service.
Forex Trading News
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Best Forex Trading Platforms has recently announced the launch of their new website ranking and reviewing the best online forex platforms. They have made it their goal to bring top of the line platforms to trader all around the world. (PRWeb February 05, 2012) Read the full story at http://www.prweb.com/releases/2012/2/prweb9167589.htm EUR/USD Forex Forecast Weekly Review 5 Feb 12 - Sun, 05 Feb 2012 08:31:43 -0800
Simultaneous Release at TheGeekKnows.com Learn Forex Trading and read exclusive EUR/USD Reviews. Good day forex traders. In the previous EUR/USD forex forecast review we noted that the SMAs were turning bullish. In fact the short term SMA 20 had already began to slope up. The immediate concern of the Euro Zone budget deficit crisis probably remained to be Greece [. Leading Australian Forex Trading Broker IC Markets Ends a Record 2011 Year - Sun, 29 Jan 2012 06:02:11 -0800
International Capital Markets Pty Ltd (IC Markets) a market leading Australian forex broker today announced its 2011 results culminating an exciting year for the company. Over the 2011 year forex trading volumes increased by 83%, with the number of clients increasing by a record 93% representing two straight years of double digit growth.SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA (PRWEB) January 30, 2012 International ...
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